Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TRX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-16 0.167261 0.188442 0.210696 0.235766 0.263167 0.292152 0.325074
2025-03-23 0.141773 0.170821 0.202936 0.240889 0.284319 0.332266 0.388997
2025-03-30 0.120391 0.153980 0.192815 0.240630 0.297493 0.362518 0.442037
2025-04-06 0.103804 0.140238 0.184105 0.240124 0.309016 0.390207 0.492302
2025-04-13 0.090467 0.128639 0.176356 0.239341 0.319158 0.415753 0.540190
2025-04-20 0.081054 0.120800 0.172205 0.242097 0.333034 0.445653 0.593775
2025-04-27 0.074650 0.116120 0.171428 0.248630 0.351431 0.481310 0.655205
2025-05-04 0.067371 0.109392 0.167170 0.249925 0.362618 0.507744 0.705367
2025-05-11 0.062383 0.105353 0.166093 0.255123 0.378791 0.540747 0.764557
2025-05-18 0.058490 0.102486 0.166300 0.261842 0.396973 0.576642 0.828222
2025-05-25 0.052694 0.096130 0.160918 0.260152 0.403222 0.596501 0.870893
2025-06-01 0.048093 0.091177 0.157162 0.260402 0.411910 0.619605 0.918185
2025-06-08 0.043343 0.085650 0.152301 0.258949 0.418389 0.640293 0.963448
2025-06-15 0.040702 0.083380 0.152272 0.264634 0.435264 0.675773 1.029809
2025-06-22 0.037075 0.079037 0.148603 0.264445 0.443341 0.698942 1.079510
2025-06-29 0.033762 0.074902 0.144934 0.263948 0.450770 0.721204 1.128286
2025-07-06 0.030729 0.070954 0.141252 0.263131 0.457521 0.742486 1.175979
2025-07-13 0.028637 0.068565 0.140016 0.266118 0.470090 0.772435 1.236604
2025-07-20 0.027372 0.067661 0.141260 0.273171 0.489129 0.812282 1.312281
2025-07-27 0.025350 0.065020 0.139226 0.274573 0.499196 0.838905 1.369123
2025-08-03 0.024093 0.063825 0.139694 0.280178 0.516059 0.876028 1.442030
2025-08-10 0.023142 0.063181 0.141110 0.287420 0.535708 0.917732 1.522438
2025-08-17 0.021110 0.059957 0.137463 0.285600 0.540432 0.936643 1.569138